Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.274324 0.318881 0.370090 0.433681 0.511060 0.602837 0.720936
2025-08-17 0.206086 0.262322 0.334665 0.436212 0.577779 0.772324 1.067458
2025-08-24 0.165861 0.224891 0.307155 0.433531 0.629077 0.931468 1.458700
2025-08-31 0.138516 0.196960 0.283532 0.426291 0.666653 1.077067 1.885665
2025-09-07 0.123049 0.182336 0.274991 0.437826 0.734216 1.290412 2.527706
2025-09-14 0.107451 0.164426 0.257305 0.429098 0.762484 1.440126 3.117447
2025-09-21 0.097210 0.153270 0.248345 0.432996 0.814415 1.654142 3.976105
2025-09-28 0.088118 0.142569 0.238155 0.431986 0.855556 1.859557 4.946941
2025-10-05 0.082424 0.136859 0.235810 0.445559 0.931728 2.179120 6.496846
2025-10-12 0.077074 0.130988 0.232124 0.455401 1.002188 2.515671 8.409824
2025-10-19 0.072239 0.125408 0.228085 0.463523 1.071006 2.881265 10.824387
2025-10-26 0.068581 0.121582 0.226925 0.477864 1.160883 3.359948 14.352545
2025-11-02 0.064272 0.116089 0.221769 0.482369 1.227495 3.808370 18.478514
2025-11-09 0.060136 0.110497 0.215680 0.483566 1.286158 4.270412 23.591578
2025-11-16 0.056117 0.104698 0.208351 0.480170 1.330237 4.708663 29.555782
2025-11-23 0.052202 0.098705 0.199805 0.471900 1.356330 5.093107 36.141796
2025-11-30 0.050068 0.096258 0.199058 0.484940 1.461252 5.930236 49.828430
2025-12-07 0.046749 0.090912 0.190810 0.475056 1.480373 6.357109 60.757648
2025-12-14 0.044552 0.087824 0.187615 0.479467 1.556552 7.171576 81.071587
2025-12-21 0.042249 0.084280 0.182872 0.478323 1.611185 7.920891 105.369581
2025-12-28 0.040951 0.082892 0.183356 0.493693 1.742484 9.319489 155.092476
2026-01-04 0.039533 0.081089 0.182549 0.504845 1.861619 10.798954 226.356204
2026-01-11 0.038123 0.079171 0.181211 0.514053 1.977426 12.432395 332.951014